Assume a staff member at the local state mental hospital who has been doing intake interviews for years claims that he can tell on the basis of his interviews whom the psychiatrists will judge to be sufficiently healthy to release from the hospital within the first week and whom the psychiatrists will require to stay longer than a week. As a young clinical intern at the hospital who is taken with actuarial as opposed to intuitive predictions, you are eager to prove the staff member wrong. You bet him that he will perform no differently than could be explained by chance (with alpha of .05, two-tailed) in his predictions about the next 12 patients. He agrees to the bet on the condition that you first provide him information at the end of the week about how many of the 12 patients were released so that he will know how many such patients to name. With this figure, he thinks he can determine who the released patients were, just on the basis of his earlier interview (he has no subsequent contact with the patients). To your surprise, he correctly names 5 of the 6 patients released early. Do you owe him any money? Would it have made any difference if he had named 5 of 6 early release patients out of a set of 15 intake interviews rather than 12? Support your answers.
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The post Would it have made any difference if he had named 5 of 6 early release patients out of a set of 15 intake interviews rather than 12? Support your answers. appeared first on Cheapest Academic Custom Papers.
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